With the potential for Buffalo to get ahead of the game script, Allen will have more chances to run the ball, as will running back James Cook. Plus, Allen has topped this prop in two of the three matchups against the Chiefs over the past three years, so look for that trend to continue.

The Kansas City Chiefs are down a kicker, which no one should take for granted in a Chiefs-Bills game. The Chiefs secured a win in the last meeting on a missed field goal and sent the 13-seconds game to overtime on a last-second regulation kick.

The Buffalo Bills have won five straight games and are heading into their most important regular season game of the season.